2014 NFL Week 4 Pick'em

The Super Bowl rematch between Seattle and Denver will be one of the best games this year. Broncos' QB Peyton Manning's late 4th quarter comeback down 8 with less than a minute left and no timeouts to tie the game at 20 was nothing less than spectacular. However, Seahawks QB Russell Wilson got the ball to start overtime and never let Peyton get his hands on it. Wilson led Seattle 80 yards in 5:46 to score the game winning touchdown capped off by a Marshawn Lynch 6 yard TD run. In OT, Wilson kept the drive alive with legs scrambling on 3rd down twice to get the first. He now has a 7-0 combined record against Peyton Manning, Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, and Tom Brady. The big surprise was my Detroit Lions defense shutting down Rodgers and the Packers. The defense line for Detroit was outstanding keeping pressure on Rodgers allowing only 162 yards passing yards. Week 3 finally brought us our first winning week overall but still a loss for the SuperContest. This week the two big games to keep your eye on are the Packers at Bears and Saints at Cowboys. Let's do it.

SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)

REDSKINS -3 over Giants

I know they didn't win the game, but how about the performance Kirk Cousins had last week. He threw for 427 yards 3 touchdowns and 1 INT in a 37-34 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. Cousins now faces a Giants defense that ranks 22nd in pass defense. We all know Eli Manning has been struggling but one thing New York has going for them is newly acquired RB Rashad Jennings who has the 3rd most rushing yards in the NFL with 286. Unfortunately for Jennings he's going up against the 3rd best rushing defense in Washington that is only giving up 64.7 yards per game. Not to mention, the home teams in Thursday night games are 3-0 with a 118-36 point differential.

BEARS +2 over Packers

After winning 2 straight road games the Chicago Bears head home to take on division rival Green Bay. These Bears have been giving up a lot of yards but are tied for the league lead in takeaways (8) and INTs (6). QB Jay Cutler has also been playing well throwing for 8 TDs and only 2 INTs while spreading the ball to WRs Alshon Jeffery, Brandon Marshall, TE Martellus Bennett, and RB Matt Forte. On the other hand, Aaron Rodgers has struggled mightily on the road throwing for less than 200 yards at Seattle and at Detroit. And guess what...this is another road game. RB Eddie Lacy is also having a bad year for Green Bay rushing for only 113 yards in 3 games. The Packers are having a hard time scoring and a hard time stoping other teams from scoring giving up 26.3 point per game. The Chicago Bears are looking to get revenge after Green Bay kept them out of the playoffs last year with the defense losing Randall Cobb for the game-winning touchdown in the last minute.

RAVENS -3 over Panthers

For 13 years WR Steve Smith was the leader of the Carolina Panthers recording 7 season with 1,000+ receiving yards but had a down year in 2013 with only 745 yards. Now with the Baltimore Ravens, Smith has been rejuvenated. He already has 290 yards in 3 games and has quickly become QB Joe Flacco's favorite target. As for Smith's replacement in Carolina, rookie WR Kelvin Benjamin has been a pleasant surprise with 253 yards and 2 TDs. Where the Panthers have had trouble is the ground game, they are averaging 72.3 yards which is good for 29th in the NFL. Since Cam Newton was drafted by Carolina in 2011, the Panthers have never ranked lower than 11th. We expected the Ravens to struggle with their rushing attack without RB Ray Rice but the committee of Bernard Pierce, Justin Forsett, and Lorenzo Taliaferro has the Ravens currently ranked 8th in the NFL in rushing. Baltimore will get it done at home against a tough Carolina defense.

Falcons -2.5 over VIKINGS

Without RB Adrian Peterson, the Minnesota Vikings have failed to score double digits in 2 straight games. The Flacons don't have the best defense in the league but are currently leading the NFL in total offense (455) and points per game (34.3). WR Julio Jones seems to be fully recovered from last years season ending injury as he has 365 receiving yards which also leads the league. Minnesota will be starting rookie 1st rounder QB Teddy Bridgewater for the first time as QB Matt Cassel suffered a broken foot against the Saints in Week 2 and is out for the year. Many experts thought Bridgewater was the most NFL ready quarterback in the 2013 draft and the Vikings are hoping they are correct. However, he won't be able to put up enough points in this one to keep up with Matt Ryan and the Falcons high powered offense.

COWBOYS +3 over Saints

This game will be your classic shootout. Both teams can score and both teams have problems on defense. Cowboys RB DeMarco Murray has been a beast running for over 100 yards and scoring 1 touchdown in each of his first 3 games. The Saints running game actually looked good the first 2 weeks with RB Mark Ingram averaging 6.0 yards per carry but he went down with a fractured hand and New Orleans went down to 3.4 yards per carry in Week 3. Saints QB Drew Brees has been good but not great so far and Cowboys QB Tony Romo has been his normal up and down self but has improved each week. In a game with good offense and no defense, it's always smart to go with the home team.

Other NFL in 10 or less

RAIDERS +3.5 over Dolphins in London     London keeps getting screwed with bad games

TEXANS -3 over Bills     If Foster plays Houston will control the game

COLTS -7.5 over Titans     Indy found its stride against Jax and Luck is rolling

Lions -1.5 over JETS     Lions defense confident after shutting down GB

STEELERS -7.5 over Bucs     Can't take the Bucs until they show me something

Jaguars +13 over CHARGERS     Blake Bortles keeps it close

Eagles +5.5 over 49ERS     49ers D struggling and Philly can score

CHIEFS +3.5 over Patriots     Don't know what's up with Brady, take Home/Dog

SuperContest
Last Week:  2-3
Season Total:  5-10

Overall
Last Week:  9-7
Season Total:  20-28

NFL Week 16 Pick'em

Our second strong week in a row has a in position to finish the year with a little bit of extra money in our pockets.  The trip to Las Vegas was a little bit of a success but it was horrible watching my Detroit Lions lose on a 61-yard FG to the Ravens 18-16.  The Cowboys had their end of the year meltdown as well with the Packers rallying from 23-points down to win 37-36.  Arizona almost gave me a heart attack giving up 17 points in the final 3:12 to the Titans but pulled it out in OT 37-34.  And I can't forget to mention the day Jamaal Charles had combining for 215 yards and five touchdowns propelling many fantasy teams in the finals and bouncing two of my teams out of the playoffs.  We still haven't had a losing SuperContest week since Week 7 but we haven't gained much ground as we've been going back and forth between 3-2 and 2-2-1.  This week there are many teams that are trying to stay in the playoff hunt.  No teams in the NFC have clinched their division yet and three teams are still competing in the NFC North.  Time to get in the holiday spirit and get some extra cash for more presents!

SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)

PANTHERS -3 over Saints     Carolina wants revenge and Saints completely different on the road.

RAMS -3.5 over Bucs     Rams carry momentum from Saints win against hapless Bucs.

Browns +2 over JETS     Browns D will force TO's from Jets rookie Smith.

Steelers +1 over PACKERS     Pittsburgh trying to crawl back into playoff picture.

Giants +9 over LIONS     Lions have lost 8 straight games in December and January.


Other NFL

Dolphins -3 over BILLS     Miami still fighting for playoffs, Bills struggled against JAX.

REDSKINS +3 over Cowboys     Cousins has Skins competing, should get win at home.

EAGLES -3 over Bears     Foles and Eagles will shine on Sunday night.

CHIEFS -6.5 over Colts     KC is dominating again and Charles tough to stop.

BENGALS -7.5 over Vikings     Bengals 5th best D will be the difference.

Broncos -10.5 over TEXANS     Not picking Texans again with 2-10-2 ATS record.

JAGUARS +4 over Titans     Don't know why I've picked Jacksonville so much this year.

Cardinals +10.5 over SEAHAWKS     Arizona will be best team to not make the playoffs.

Raiders +10 over CHARGERS     Jennings been playing well, could keep OAK in it.

Patriots PK over RAVENS     Ravens not as good as record shows.

49ERS -13.5 over Falcons     Last game in Candlestick will be a blowout.


SuperContest
Last Week:  3-2
Season Total:  39-32-4

Overall
Last Week:  11-5
Season Total:  114-102-7

NFL Week 11 Pick'em

We are officially in danger mode as we have entered to red in both the SuperContest and overall.  Because of sportsbooks taking what is known as "juice" a bettor must win around 54% to make a profit.  Right now we are exactly at 52% for the SuperContest and 50% overall.  Last week the Jacksonville Jaguars got their first win of the season, on the road in Tennessee.  A game I'm sure knocked a lot of people out of their survival pools.  The Tampa Bay Buccaneers also got their first win on Monday night against a Miami Dolphins team that is still all sorts of messed up.  The big game on the slate this week is the Denver Broncos hosting the Kansas City Chiefs.  Nobody expected KC to be the lone undefeated team left but we'll see what they, as this defense, are made of on Sunday night.  Let's get it.

SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)

BUCS -1 over Falcons

Tampa Bay is coming off their first win and Mike Glennon has taken care of the ball as of late.  In his last four games he's thrown six touchdowns with only one interception.  Mike James was also playing great but went down an ankle injury for the rest of the year.  But even with that, they still will have the upper hand over the Atlanta Falcons who have only averaged 11 point per game over their last three.  The Falcons offense has been hit bad with the injury bug as Julio Jones is out for the year, Roddy White can't get healthy, and now Tony Gonzalez questionable with a toe injury.  Atlanta has a 1-6 record in the past seven weeks, with that lone win coming against the Bucs.  This week will be different though as Tampa has new found momentum after taking the Seahawks to OT on the road and getting their first win against Miami.

Jets -1 over BILLS

I am finally coming around on the Jets.  They are 6-3 ATS this year but I've been hating all year.  NYJ is coming off their bye and heading to Buffalo to face a Bills team that has lost their last three SU and ATS.  Buffalo has been shuffling three different QB's in those three games as Thad Lewis, Jeff Tuel and EJ Manuel all came up short. This week Manuel will be back under center again but will be without #1 WR Steve Johnson.  The Jets have alternated wins and losses all year.  Every win has came in an odd week and because of their bye in week 10 this means they will get the W in week 11 against the Bills...right?

EAGLES -5 over Redskins

The Eagles are 0-10 in their last ten home games dating back to last year.  Yes, I said HOME games.  This is the perfect time to buck that trend when the Washington Redskins come to Philly and bring the second worst defense in the NFL, giving up 31.9 ppg.  Nick Foles is the hottest QB right now after throwing 10 TD's in his last two games, including seven against Oakland two weeks ago.  He's still yet to throw an INT and I don't see one coming against the porous Redskins defense.  Look for Foles and Shady McCoy to dominate the air and the ground as there is no way they can lose 11 straight at home.

Chargers -1.5 over DOLPHINS

San Diego has done a lot of traveling lately as this will be their third time heading to the east coast in four weeks.  They've already beaten Jacksonville and were screwed on a Danny Woodhead touchdown that was overturned in those first two games.  Luckily for the Chargers it will be a 4:00pm start time this week when they visit the disheveled Dolphins.  Miami is still reeling from the Incognito-Martin fallout and are 1-5 in the last six.  Quarterback Ryan Tannehill has been very inconsistent in his last four, throwing seven touchdowns and five picks.  San Diego is still in the playoff hunt and right now are behind the Dolphins.  This is a big game for both teams but only the Chargers are going in the right direction.

SAINTS -3 over 49ers

I don't think anybody in the NFL can beat New Orleans at home.  If not for Peyton Manning, we'd be talking about Drew Brees as MVP front runner.  Brees has been almost perfect at home as well throwing 18 TD's and only two INT's in five games at the Superdome.  The 49ers have played well on the road going 3-1, but those wins have been against teams with a losing record.  Colin Kaepernick has not hit the expectations many had for him, especially Ron Jaworski who thought he could be one of the best quarterbacks ever.  He's only thrown nine touchdowns and hasn't ran the ball as good as San Francisco hoped he would.  All is all, the 49ers are still one of the best teams in the NFL but the Saints are on another level when they play at home.

Other NFL in 10 or less

Colts -3 over TITANS    Luck plays better after blowout loss to St Louis.

Lions -2.5 over STEELERS     Detroit's feeling it after taking out rival Bears.

BEARS -3 over Ravens     Still have trouble believing in Baltimore.

Browns +5.5 over BENGALS     Cleveland D keeps it close in Cincy.

TEXANS -9.5 over Raiders     Matt McGloin making start for Oakland, that's enough for me.

JAGUARS +8.5 over Cardinals     Arizona doesn't blow teams out on the road.

SEAHAWKS -12.5 over Vikings     Seattle's defense too tough for Peterson.

GIANTS -4 over Packers     GB has issues without Rodgers.

Chiefs +7.5 over BRONCOS     KC coming of bye gives Manning fits.

Patriots +3 over PANTHERS     Brady comes up big in primetime off bye week.


SuperContest
Last Week:  2-2-1
Season Total:  26-22-2

Overall
Last Week:  5-8-1
Season Total:  73-69-4

NFL Week 6 Pick'em

After our best week, we follow that up with our worst.  But, our SuperContest picks were great going 4-1.  There were some big story lines as well as Peyton Manning and Tony Romo had a shootout for the ages, the Jets had a two-minute comeback, while Julio Jones is lost for the year, and two unbeaten teams went down.  This week everybody is talking about the largest spread in NFL history.  The Denver Broncos opened as a 28-point favorite at home over the Jacksonville Jaguars.  I was shocked in Week 3 when the Seahawks were almost a 20-point favorite against the Jags, but this is crazy.  College football has bigger numbers than this all the time (every Oregon game), but we just don't see spreads like this in the NFL.  Other than that there aren't too many good games outside of New Orleans-New England and Washington-Dallas.  So, let's improve on last week's poor performance.

SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)

Eagles -1.5 over BUCS

Tampa Bay has lost three of its four games by a field goal or less and are coming off a bye.  All of this would matter for any other team that wasn't in shambles.  Ever since this whole Josh Freeman thing started the Bucs have not been right.  Freeman is now in Minnesota so that means rookie Mike Glennon must take over.  He looked less than good in his first start against Arizona and I expect more of the same this week.  Yes, Mike Vick is out for Philly, but his backup, Nick Foles, is more than capable of leading this high powered offense.  He came in last week against the Giants and threw for 197 yards and two TD's in little over half the game.  Tampa Bay's offense will be lucky to score more than 14 points and LeSean McCoy will score twice himself.

VIKINGS -2.5 over Panthers

A team that will get some help coming off the bye, and possibly from new addition Josh Freeman, are the Minnesota Vikings.  Last time we saw them they were getting their first win over the Steelers in London 34-27.  Matt Cassel got the start for an injured Christian Ponder and played well (248 yards, 2 TDs).  Carolina will be in its second straight road game after falling to the Cardinals 22-6 last week.  Cam Newton has been a big disappointment again this year.  Not only is his arm not producing but he can't get anything going on the ground either.  Freeman won't figure much in this game but will be in a competition for the starting job once he gets the playbook down.  Until then, Cassel will get the job done against the Panthers.

Raiders +8.5 over CHIEFS

Kansas City is a team I've been riding all year and they are 4-1 ATS, but this Oakland team has been really competitive with Terrelle Pryor at the helm.  He's taken a hold of the starting job and he also leads the Raiders in rushing.  Yes, the Chiefs are one of the top five teams in the league with arguably the best defense.  But, Oakland doesn't give up much on the ground and that's where the Chiefs bread and butter is with Jamaal Charles.  This game will go by fast with how much running will be by both teams and I think Oakland can score 17 to keep it close.

PATRIOTS -2.5 over Saints

Two of the best quarterbacks in the league will go at it in the best game of the week.  Drew Brees has outperformed Tom Brady so far this year and in head-to-head matchups as well, going 3-0 against the Pats QB.  The Saints have been close to unstoppable on offense and Jimmy Graham is not only the best tight end in the league but also turning into the best overall receiver.  On the other side, New England has been hampered by injures to their receiving corps all year.  Players are slowly starting to comeback as Danny Amendola returned last week and Rob Gronkowski will likely play against the Saints.  It's not often the betting public is not on the Patriots at home but this is one of those scenarios.  And that's why I think they will win.  The moment you count this team out is the moment the prove they are still a team to reckon with.

SEAHAWKS -13.5 over Titans

Tennessee was been a pleasant surprise to start the year 3-1 with Jake Locker at QB.  Then he went down with an injury and in stepped Ryan Fitzpatrick.  Fitzpatrick started his first game for the Titans last week and looked rusty.  Seattle has struggled on the road but are a completely different beast at home.  This defense will be all over Fitzpatrick forcing bad throws and turnovers.  The Titans D is much improved but I just don't see their offense doing enough to keep it close in this one.


Other NFL in 10 or less

Giants +7.5 over BEARS     Eli has to cover sooner or later...right?

RAVENS +2.5 over Packers     Rut row Ray Rice, he's back as the focal point.

BROWNS +3 over Lions     Megatron is questionable and Browns defense is tough.

TEXANS -7.5 over Rams     Schaub comes through with his job on the line.

JETS -1.5 over Steelers     Jets coming home after emotional comeback in ATL.

BILLS +7 over Bengals     Bills rushing attack keeps them in it.

Jaguars +27.5 over BRONCOS     Gotta take the points, even against Peyton.

49ERS -10.5 over Cardinals     SF defense getting back to form, Palmer too erratic.

Redskins +5.5 over COWBOYS     Redskins coming off the bye in rivalry game.

Colts -2 over CHARGERS     Indy on a roll and Chargers have no defense.


SuperContest
Last Week:  4-1
Season Total:  15-9-1

Overall
Last Week:  6-8
Season Total:  41-32-3

NFL Week 5 Pick'em

The first quarter of the season is over and we finished on our best week.  We were 11-3-1 on the day and 3-1-1 in the SuperContest.  The Seahawks and Cardinals had huge 4th quarter comebacks to avoid losses against Houston and Tampa Bay, but other than that most of our wins went surprisingly smooth.  As for the home-dogs I mentioned last week, they went 4-3 and continued their winning ways.  This week we have a lot of big name matchups which will make for some tough selections but hopefully we'll have another good week.

SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)

BROWNS -3.5 over Bills

My confidence with the Cleveland Browns has been a roller coaster so far this season.  It was high to begin the year, then they lost to Miami.  It was really low when they traded away Trent Richardson and started Brian Hoyer, then they beat Minnesota.  Now I'm high on them again as I had them covering against a good Bengals team, and they won.  This week they face Buffalo on Thursday night and I expect another cover.  The Bills strength is running the ball and the Browns strength is stopping the run.  Cleveland will put up enough points with Jordan Cameron and Josh Gordon so lay the 3.5.

Chiefs -3 over TITANS

The Chiefs were a popular sleeper pick before the season and are living up to the hype.  Tennessee, however, is one of the biggest surprises of the NFL starting 3-1 (3-0-1 ATS).  But, starting QB Jake Locker is now out 4-6 weeks with a sprained hip.  Ryan Fitzpatrick is a serviceable backup after starting every game the last two years in Buffalo but this might be a situation he's not ready to handle.  KC leads the league in defensive points against at 10.3 per game and in sacks with 18.  Fitzpatrick will be thrown into the fire and probably hand it off to Chris Johnson a lot.  It won't matter though because Jamaal Charles and the Chiefs defense will be too much for an undermanned Titans team.

CARDINALS +2 over Panthers

Carolina travels across the country after a bye week and a 38-0 shellacking of the Giants before that.  Those are good enough reasons to pick any team but the problem is I don't believe and Cam Newton's arm.  And to beat the Cardinals you gotta do it through the air because Arizona has the second best run defense in the NFL (75 ypg).  Arizona's offense has not been as good as I expected it might be.  But, it will be good for them to be back home after playing three of their first four on the road.  That lone home game resulted in a 25-21 win over a really good Detroit Lions team.  The Cardinals are 3-1 ATS, take the home-dog.

Saints PK over BEARS

In one of the better matchups this weekend, the 4-0 Saints visit the 3-1 Bears.  New Orleans, and Drew Brees, is coming off a great Monday night performance against the Dolphins.  This offense is again one of the best in the league as Brees ranks behind only Peyton Manning in passing yards.  But it's been their defense that has improved from a year ago, forcing six turnovers in the last two games.  Chicago at home is tough to pick against, especially with Matt Forte on pace to have his best season averaging 120 total yards per game.  However, whether the Bears win or lose always falls on the arm of their QB Jay Cutler.  With how he played last week against the Lions (3 INTs and 57% completions) there was a lot to be desired.  Brees won't make the same mistakes as Cutler.  Take the better QB in this PICK game.

GIANTS -2.5 over Eagles

This will be the highest scoring game of the weekend, no question.  The Giants and Eagles give up the most points in the NFL, 36.5 ppg and 34.5 ppg respectively.  New York has been embarrassed it's last two games losing by a combined 69-7.  But yes, I'm still picking them.  The reason is that Eli and this Giants team are too good to start 0-5.  All they need is some home cooking to get their first win.  And what better way to do it than against a rival.  Philly head coach Chip Kelly turned heads after winning week 1 against Washington and his offense looked almost unstoppable.  Unfortunately, they haven't been able to stop anybody else as they are giving up a league worst 447 yards per game.  We'll see a lot of Manning to Cruz and this will be the game David Wilson breaks out.


Other NFL in 10 or less

DOLPHINS -3 over Ravens     Staying away from Baltimore until Rice gets going.

Jaguars +11.5 over RAMS     Don't trust the Rams enough, Jags get first cover.

Patriots +2 over BENGALS     Brady gaining more trust with receivers and getting Amendola
                                                   back.

COLTS +3 over Seahawks     Seattle played with fire last week, not so lucky again.

Lions +7 over PACKERS     Big number for high scoring rivals.

RAIDERS +4 over Chargers     Pryor starting again, keeps it close in Black Hole.

Broncos -7 over COWBOYS     Peyton Manning, Demaryius Thomas, Wes Welker, Eric Decker,
                                                    Julius Thomas.

Texans +6.5 over 49ERS     Houston only plays close games, gets first cover as well.

FALCONS -10 over Jets     Jets too banged up to keep pace on the scoreboard.

SuperContest
Last Week:  3-1-1
Season Total:  11-8-1

Overall
Last Week:  11-3-1
Season Total:  35-24-3

NFL Week 2 Pick'em

Week 1 looked fantastic going into the Monday night games, but finishing 0-2 turned it into just a good weekend.  Overall 9-5 isn't too bad to start with and neither is 4-1 for the SuperContest.  We saw a lot of players go off (Peyton Manning) and a few teams really disappoint (Pittsburgh Steelers).  The New England Patriots and Houston Texans had a hard time winning on the road and didn't cover.  Chip Kelly's offense in Philadelphia looked really scary in Washington with Michael Vick and LeSean McCoy, but Robert Griffin III seemed rusty coming off knee surgery.  Here's what Week 2 looks like.

SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)

Jets +12 over PATRIOTS

New England struggled mightily last week playing at Buffalo.  The receiving core looked out of place all game and they were even running into each other on routes.  That was until the last drive when Tom Brady went 6-6 with Danny Amendola and Shane Vereen that lead to the game winning field goal.  This week Amendola (groin) and Vereen (wrist) are both out.  The Jets barely squeaked by Tampa Bay at home 18-17 on a last second FG of their own.  They aren't a team I'm very fond of this year, but the Pats are vulnerable.  New England has a lot of injury problems as well as chemistry issues and I think 12 is too much to cover in this rivalry.

BEARS -6 over Vikings

The Vikings and Adrian Peterson started off great with a 78-yard touchdown on their first play from scrimmage against the Detroit Lions.  After that Peterson only managed 15 yards on the ground.  Chicago has a very solid defense as well and are coming off a big home win over Cincinnati.  The Bears will be able to slow down AP just enough and put enough points on the board that Christian Ponder will have to throw.  If that happens, the Bears secondary will be feasting on INTs all day.  Minnesota made the playoffs a year ago but will finish last in the NFC North this year.

Saints -3 over BUCS

One of the most disappointing losses went to Tampa Bay last week.  A late hit on Jets QB Geno Smith put New York in position for the game winning field goal.  I didn't expect much this year from TB outside of Doug Martin but he had a rough go as well with only 65 yards at 2.7 per carry.  New Orleans on the other hand played well taking down Atlanta in the return of Sean Payton.  The Saints had one of the worst defenses in the league last year but held the Falcons to only 17 points.  If that defense shows up again this week it will be a long day for Tampa Bay.

SEAHAWKS -3 over 49ers

The top two teams in many power rankings will go head to head in the Sunday night game.  San Francisco is coming off a huge win over the Packers 34-28 and Colin Kaepernick showed he's legit.  Seattle had a tough time on the east coast against Carolina but came out with a win 12-7.  The Seahawks were probably looking to the 49ers and their play suffered against the Panthers but that won't happen this week.  Seattle wants to prove they are not only the best team in the NFC West but also the best team in the league.  They have one of the best home field advantages in the NFL and their fans will be ready for the home opener.

RAIDERS -5.5 over Jaguars

From two of the best teams, to two of the worst teams in the league.  Terrelle Pryor almost led Oakland to one of the biggest upsets last week but fell short to the Colts 21-17.  As for Jacksonville, they only managed to score 2 points off a blocked punt that went out of the end zone against the Chiefs.  The Jaguars have no offense whatsoever as teams will load up the box to stop Maurice Jones-Drew because they have two of the worst starting quarterbacks in the league.  Blaine Gabbert is out with a cut on his throwing hand, which means Chad Henne will get the start.  The Raiders have a nice running game with Darren McFadden (when healthy) and now Pryor.  Their defense isn't great but the Jags offense will look just as bad this week and have a difficult time to score enough to cover.


Other NFL in 10 or less

EAGLES -7.5 over Chargers     West coast teams struggle in 1:00pm east coast games.

Browns +6.5 over RAVENS     Browns always keep close with Baltimore, 7 would be better.

TEXANS -9 over Titans     Houston will find its offensive legs at home.

Dolphins +3 over COLTS     Miami proved me wrong last week.  Take them this week.

BILLS +3 over Panthers     Hard to pass up home teams with points.

ATLANTA -6.5 over Rams     Too much firepower in the Georgia Dome.

Redskins +7.5 over PACKERS     RG3 came to life late last week.  Should be shootout.    

CHIEFS -3 over Cowboys     I'm high on the Chiefs this year.

CARDINALS +1.5 over Lions     Arizona won 38-10 last year and both teams have improved.

GIANTS +4.5 over Broncos     Eli always plays big in big games.

BENGALS -7 over Steelers     Steelers looked terrible and lost standouts Pouncey and Foote.


SuperContest
Last Week:  4-1
Season Total:  4-1

Overall
Last Week:  9-5-1
Season Total:  9-5-1