This is not good. We can't seem to shake this funk and get any traction. We continue to barely hold our heads above water in the SuperContest. But, we are still within striking distance of a decent year and with a few good weeks to end the season we could end up with some profit. In the big game last week the Broncos beat the undefeated Chiefs 27-17. This week all eyes will be on Denver again when they head to New England. I also think I need to change things up this week as we'll have all games with ten words or less breakdowns. Maybe that will bring us home the goods.
SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)
Bucs +9 over LIONS Glennon has been getting better each week.
CHIEFS -4.5 over Chargers KC picks themselves back up after first loss.
RAMS -1.5 over Bears Rams off bye, Cutler still out.
Panthers -4.5 over DOLPHINS Rolling with hottest team in the NFL.
CARDINALS -2.5 over Colts Don't sleep on the Cards at home.
Other NFL in 10 or less
FALCONS +7.5 over Saints I'll take more than a TD in a rivalry game.
Jaguars +10 over TEXANS Guess I'll take the points if I have to.
Vikings +4 over PACKERS Tolzien has looked horrible, can't trust GB til Rodgers returns.
BROWNS -2 over Steelers Pittsburgh has been a bad road team.
RAVENS -3.5 over Jets Rice finally showed up, while Jets looked abysmal last week.
RAIDERS +1 over Titans Jennings running well and McGloin looked solid.
GIANTS -2.5 over Cowboys Giants seem to be heading in the right direction.
PATRIOTS +1.5 over Broncos Remember Patriots-Saints? Same thing here.
49ers -5.5 over REDSKINS Niners come out strong after 2-game slide.
SuperContest
Last Week: 2-2-1
Season Total: 28-24-3
Overall
Last Week: 5-8-2
Season Total: 78-77-6
Showing posts with label Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Show all posts
Monday, November 25, 2013
Sunday, November 17, 2013
NFL Week 11 Pick'em
We are officially in danger mode as we have entered to red in both the SuperContest and overall. Because of sportsbooks taking what is known as "juice" a bettor must win around 54% to make a profit. Right now we are exactly at 52% for the SuperContest and 50% overall. Last week the Jacksonville Jaguars got their first win of the season, on the road in Tennessee. A game I'm sure knocked a lot of people out of their survival pools. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers also got their first win on Monday night against a Miami Dolphins team that is still all sorts of messed up. The big game on the slate this week is the Denver Broncos hosting the Kansas City Chiefs. Nobody expected KC to be the lone undefeated team left but we'll see what they, as this defense, are made of on Sunday night. Let's get it.
SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)
BUCS -1 over Falcons
Tampa Bay is coming off their first win and Mike Glennon has taken care of the ball as of late. In his last four games he's thrown six touchdowns with only one interception. Mike James was also playing great but went down an ankle injury for the rest of the year. But even with that, they still will have the upper hand over the Atlanta Falcons who have only averaged 11 point per game over their last three. The Falcons offense has been hit bad with the injury bug as Julio Jones is out for the year, Roddy White can't get healthy, and now Tony Gonzalez questionable with a toe injury. Atlanta has a 1-6 record in the past seven weeks, with that lone win coming against the Bucs. This week will be different though as Tampa has new found momentum after taking the Seahawks to OT on the road and getting their first win against Miami.
Jets -1 over BILLS
I am finally coming around on the Jets. They are 6-3 ATS this year but I've been hating all year. NYJ is coming off their bye and heading to Buffalo to face a Bills team that has lost their last three SU and ATS. Buffalo has been shuffling three different QB's in those three games as Thad Lewis, Jeff Tuel and EJ Manuel all came up short. This week Manuel will be back under center again but will be without #1 WR Steve Johnson. The Jets have alternated wins and losses all year. Every win has came in an odd week and because of their bye in week 10 this means they will get the W in week 11 against the Bills...right?
EAGLES -5 over Redskins
The Eagles are 0-10 in their last ten home games dating back to last year. Yes, I said HOME games. This is the perfect time to buck that trend when the Washington Redskins come to Philly and bring the second worst defense in the NFL, giving up 31.9 ppg. Nick Foles is the hottest QB right now after throwing 10 TD's in his last two games, including seven against Oakland two weeks ago. He's still yet to throw an INT and I don't see one coming against the porous Redskins defense. Look for Foles and Shady McCoy to dominate the air and the ground as there is no way they can lose 11 straight at home.
Chargers -1.5 over DOLPHINS
San Diego has done a lot of traveling lately as this will be their third time heading to the east coast in four weeks. They've already beaten Jacksonville and were screwed on a Danny Woodhead touchdown that was overturned in those first two games. Luckily for the Chargers it will be a 4:00pm start time this week when they visit the disheveled Dolphins. Miami is still reeling from the Incognito-Martin fallout and are 1-5 in the last six. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill has been very inconsistent in his last four, throwing seven touchdowns and five picks. San Diego is still in the playoff hunt and right now are behind the Dolphins. This is a big game for both teams but only the Chargers are going in the right direction.
SAINTS -3 over 49ers
I don't think anybody in the NFL can beat New Orleans at home. If not for Peyton Manning, we'd be talking about Drew Brees as MVP front runner. Brees has been almost perfect at home as well throwing 18 TD's and only two INT's in five games at the Superdome. The 49ers have played well on the road going 3-1, but those wins have been against teams with a losing record. Colin Kaepernick has not hit the expectations many had for him, especially Ron Jaworski who thought he could be one of the best quarterbacks ever. He's only thrown nine touchdowns and hasn't ran the ball as good as San Francisco hoped he would. All is all, the 49ers are still one of the best teams in the NFL but the Saints are on another level when they play at home.
Other NFL in 10 or less
Colts -3 over TITANS Luck plays better after blowout loss to St Louis.
Lions -2.5 over STEELERS Detroit's feeling it after taking out rival Bears.
BEARS -3 over Ravens Still have trouble believing in Baltimore.
Browns +5.5 over BENGALS Cleveland D keeps it close in Cincy.
TEXANS -9.5 over Raiders Matt McGloin making start for Oakland, that's enough for me.
JAGUARS +8.5 over Cardinals Arizona doesn't blow teams out on the road.
SEAHAWKS -12.5 over Vikings Seattle's defense too tough for Peterson.
GIANTS -4 over Packers GB has issues without Rodgers.
Chiefs +7.5 over BRONCOS KC coming of bye gives Manning fits.
Patriots +3 over PANTHERS Brady comes up big in primetime off bye week.
SuperContest
Last Week: 2-2-1
Season Total: 26-22-2
Overall
Last Week: 5-8-1
Season Total: 73-69-4
SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)
BUCS -1 over Falcons
Tampa Bay is coming off their first win and Mike Glennon has taken care of the ball as of late. In his last four games he's thrown six touchdowns with only one interception. Mike James was also playing great but went down an ankle injury for the rest of the year. But even with that, they still will have the upper hand over the Atlanta Falcons who have only averaged 11 point per game over their last three. The Falcons offense has been hit bad with the injury bug as Julio Jones is out for the year, Roddy White can't get healthy, and now Tony Gonzalez questionable with a toe injury. Atlanta has a 1-6 record in the past seven weeks, with that lone win coming against the Bucs. This week will be different though as Tampa has new found momentum after taking the Seahawks to OT on the road and getting their first win against Miami.
Jets -1 over BILLS
I am finally coming around on the Jets. They are 6-3 ATS this year but I've been hating all year. NYJ is coming off their bye and heading to Buffalo to face a Bills team that has lost their last three SU and ATS. Buffalo has been shuffling three different QB's in those three games as Thad Lewis, Jeff Tuel and EJ Manuel all came up short. This week Manuel will be back under center again but will be without #1 WR Steve Johnson. The Jets have alternated wins and losses all year. Every win has came in an odd week and because of their bye in week 10 this means they will get the W in week 11 against the Bills...right?
EAGLES -5 over Redskins
The Eagles are 0-10 in their last ten home games dating back to last year. Yes, I said HOME games. This is the perfect time to buck that trend when the Washington Redskins come to Philly and bring the second worst defense in the NFL, giving up 31.9 ppg. Nick Foles is the hottest QB right now after throwing 10 TD's in his last two games, including seven against Oakland two weeks ago. He's still yet to throw an INT and I don't see one coming against the porous Redskins defense. Look for Foles and Shady McCoy to dominate the air and the ground as there is no way they can lose 11 straight at home.
Chargers -1.5 over DOLPHINS
San Diego has done a lot of traveling lately as this will be their third time heading to the east coast in four weeks. They've already beaten Jacksonville and were screwed on a Danny Woodhead touchdown that was overturned in those first two games. Luckily for the Chargers it will be a 4:00pm start time this week when they visit the disheveled Dolphins. Miami is still reeling from the Incognito-Martin fallout and are 1-5 in the last six. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill has been very inconsistent in his last four, throwing seven touchdowns and five picks. San Diego is still in the playoff hunt and right now are behind the Dolphins. This is a big game for both teams but only the Chargers are going in the right direction.
SAINTS -3 over 49ers
I don't think anybody in the NFL can beat New Orleans at home. If not for Peyton Manning, we'd be talking about Drew Brees as MVP front runner. Brees has been almost perfect at home as well throwing 18 TD's and only two INT's in five games at the Superdome. The 49ers have played well on the road going 3-1, but those wins have been against teams with a losing record. Colin Kaepernick has not hit the expectations many had for him, especially Ron Jaworski who thought he could be one of the best quarterbacks ever. He's only thrown nine touchdowns and hasn't ran the ball as good as San Francisco hoped he would. All is all, the 49ers are still one of the best teams in the NFL but the Saints are on another level when they play at home.
Other NFL in 10 or less
Colts -3 over TITANS Luck plays better after blowout loss to St Louis.
Lions -2.5 over STEELERS Detroit's feeling it after taking out rival Bears.
BEARS -3 over Ravens Still have trouble believing in Baltimore.
Browns +5.5 over BENGALS Cleveland D keeps it close in Cincy.
TEXANS -9.5 over Raiders Matt McGloin making start for Oakland, that's enough for me.
JAGUARS +8.5 over Cardinals Arizona doesn't blow teams out on the road.
SEAHAWKS -12.5 over Vikings Seattle's defense too tough for Peterson.
GIANTS -4 over Packers GB has issues without Rodgers.
Chiefs +7.5 over BRONCOS KC coming of bye gives Manning fits.
Patriots +3 over PANTHERS Brady comes up big in primetime off bye week.
SuperContest
Last Week: 2-2-1
Season Total: 26-22-2
Overall
Last Week: 5-8-1
Season Total: 73-69-4
Sunday, November 10, 2013
NFL Week 10 Pick'em
As we make the turn for the second half of the season we are barely keeping our heads above water. Sitting at 24-20-1 for the SuperContest and 68-61-3 overall we are in the positive but not by much. We had some bad luck last week with the Chargers not being able to punch it in from the one-yard line then subsequently losing to the Redskins in OT. But I can't complain too much as we were on the right side of luck and Andrew Luck led the Colts on a huge comeback against the Texans with a perfect two-point conversion pass late to cover the 2.5 spread. This week all eyes will be on our Detroit Lions as they head to Chicago for a battle of first place in the NFC North. With Aaron Rodgers getting hurt Monday night against the Bears, the division is ripe for Detroit or Chicago to take control for a playoff push. Gotta be quick with this one.
SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)
PACKERS +1 over Eagles
This game screams for us to take Philly. Nick Foles just threw seven touchdowns against the Raiders and, as I just stated, Rodgers is out with a shoulder injury. But the Packers finally have a running game for the first time in years with rookie Eddie Lacy. They also have one of the greatest home field advantages playing in Lambeau. Lacy will go off and Packers will force Foles to throw his first INT to hold on for the win.
Lions +2 over BEARS
Are the Lions for real this year? This will be a huge test to find out if they really are. Detroit won 40-32 earlier in the year behind Reggie Bush's 139 rushing yards. Jay Cutler will be back as starter for the Bears this week but the Lions forced four Cutler turnovers in their previous meeting. Detroit will bring the pressure again and escape with a win.
49ERS -5.5 over Panthers
Carolina is one of the hottest teams in league right now behind Cam Newton and an inspired defense. The Panthers have won four straight by a 32.5-12 average. However, those opponents have a combined 7-27 record. The 49ers are coming off a bye after taking care of the Jags in London 42-10 and on a five game win streak of their own. This is a matchup of two of the best dual threat quarterbacks in the NFL between Newton and Colin Kaepernick. San Francisco will put the Panthers in their place and will flex their superior muscle on defense.
CARDINALS -3 over Texans
Houston thought they finally had their third win until Andrew Luck pulled it away late in the fourth quarter. The Texans are on a six game slide and they just found out star running back Arian Foster will miss the rest of the season after needing back surgery. They will also be without their head coach Gary Kubiak after he collapsed during halftime of their game against the Colts. This team had a hard enough time winning before this and it should make it even tougher. The Cardinals are coming off their bye as well and are 3-1 ATS. They took down another struggling team in the Falcons their last time out and should do the same to the Texans.
BUCS +2.5 over Dolphins
Tampa Bay is one of two winless teams left in the NFL and after Monday night they will have their first win. The Bucs almost had it last week in Seattle but couldn't hold on late as they fell in overtime 27-24. The biggest reason they get the nod this week is because of the turmoil the Miami Dolphins are in right now. This issue with Richie Incognito has been all of the news and will take a lot away from the play of this team on the field. That story is still developing but they still have to go out their a play on Monday night. Tampa Bay will be fueled by home crowd in primetime.
Other NFL in 10 or less
VIKINGS +1 over Redskins Looked good against Dallas, Peterson will run wild.
TITANS -12 over Jaguars Jags on the road is not a good sign.
Bills +3 over STEELERS Manuel coming back and running game looks good with Spiller.
Raiders +7 over GIANTS Eli still turnover machine and that will keep Oakland close.
COLTS -7.5 over Rams Young Rams will be different team on the road.
FALCONS +4 over Seahawks Seattle coming east will have slow start but win late.
Bengals +1 over RAVENS Defending champs continue to struggle, even at home
Broncos -7 over CHARGERS Peyton coming off bye is hungry to put up points.
Cowboys +6 over SAINTS Should be shootout, Dallas has kept games close all year.
SuperContest
Last Week: 3-2
Season Total: 24-20-1
Overall
Last Week: 6-7
Season Total: 68-61-3
SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)
PACKERS +1 over Eagles
This game screams for us to take Philly. Nick Foles just threw seven touchdowns against the Raiders and, as I just stated, Rodgers is out with a shoulder injury. But the Packers finally have a running game for the first time in years with rookie Eddie Lacy. They also have one of the greatest home field advantages playing in Lambeau. Lacy will go off and Packers will force Foles to throw his first INT to hold on for the win.
Lions +2 over BEARS
Are the Lions for real this year? This will be a huge test to find out if they really are. Detroit won 40-32 earlier in the year behind Reggie Bush's 139 rushing yards. Jay Cutler will be back as starter for the Bears this week but the Lions forced four Cutler turnovers in their previous meeting. Detroit will bring the pressure again and escape with a win.
49ERS -5.5 over Panthers
Carolina is one of the hottest teams in league right now behind Cam Newton and an inspired defense. The Panthers have won four straight by a 32.5-12 average. However, those opponents have a combined 7-27 record. The 49ers are coming off a bye after taking care of the Jags in London 42-10 and on a five game win streak of their own. This is a matchup of two of the best dual threat quarterbacks in the NFL between Newton and Colin Kaepernick. San Francisco will put the Panthers in their place and will flex their superior muscle on defense.
CARDINALS -3 over Texans
Houston thought they finally had their third win until Andrew Luck pulled it away late in the fourth quarter. The Texans are on a six game slide and they just found out star running back Arian Foster will miss the rest of the season after needing back surgery. They will also be without their head coach Gary Kubiak after he collapsed during halftime of their game against the Colts. This team had a hard enough time winning before this and it should make it even tougher. The Cardinals are coming off their bye as well and are 3-1 ATS. They took down another struggling team in the Falcons their last time out and should do the same to the Texans.
BUCS +2.5 over Dolphins
Tampa Bay is one of two winless teams left in the NFL and after Monday night they will have their first win. The Bucs almost had it last week in Seattle but couldn't hold on late as they fell in overtime 27-24. The biggest reason they get the nod this week is because of the turmoil the Miami Dolphins are in right now. This issue with Richie Incognito has been all of the news and will take a lot away from the play of this team on the field. That story is still developing but they still have to go out their a play on Monday night. Tampa Bay will be fueled by home crowd in primetime.
Other NFL in 10 or less
VIKINGS +1 over Redskins Looked good against Dallas, Peterson will run wild.
TITANS -12 over Jaguars Jags on the road is not a good sign.
Bills +3 over STEELERS Manuel coming back and running game looks good with Spiller.
Raiders +7 over GIANTS Eli still turnover machine and that will keep Oakland close.
COLTS -7.5 over Rams Young Rams will be different team on the road.
FALCONS +4 over Seahawks Seattle coming east will have slow start but win late.
Bengals +1 over RAVENS Defending champs continue to struggle, even at home
Broncos -7 over CHARGERS Peyton coming off bye is hungry to put up points.
Cowboys +6 over SAINTS Should be shootout, Dallas has kept games close all year.
SuperContest
Last Week: 3-2
Season Total: 24-20-1
Overall
Last Week: 6-7
Season Total: 68-61-3
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