After a solid 12-4 last week we crept back above .500 with three weeks left. We watched the first week of snow games and I was surprised how many points were scored. Calvin Johnson turned into the abominable snowman but the Lions couldn't stop LeSean McCoy as he rushed for an Eagles franchise record 217 yards and Philly won 34-20 thanks to 28 fourth quarter points. In the big game of the week, San Francisco squeaked by Seattle 19-17. In the wildest finishes, New England scored 13 points in the final 1:01 with the help of an onside kick and a Billy Cundiff missed last second 58-yard field goal to edge the Browns. Also, after sleep walking through most of the game the Vikings and Ravens came alive in the final 2:05 scoring five combined touchdowns, but Baltimore had the last laugh with a Marlon Brown TD reception for the 29-26 win. I'm really excited for this week as I'll be in Las Vegas for the games. Hopefully I'll be able to turn these picks into some real money!
SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)
Cardinals -2.5 over TITANS Cardinals 5-1 in last six, Titans 1-4 in last five.
COLTS -5.5 over Texans Houston doesn't care anymore.
JAGUARS +2.5 over Bills Jags extend 3 game win streak at home.
Patriots -1 over DOLPHINS Tom Brady will show us he can win without Gronk.
Chiefs -4.5 over RAIDERS KC getting back to dominance over bad teams.
Other NFL
Chargers +10.5 over BRONCOS Let's go with that Peyton struggles in cold theory again.
Redskins +6.5 over FALCONS Starting Cousins is the best move Skins made all year.
49ers -5.5 over BUCS SF rides momentum of Seattle win.
RAMS +5.5 over Saints Rams a solid home team, Saints a bad road team.
GIANTS +6.5 over Seahawks Brown keeps NY in if Eli doesn't throw them out.
Bears PK over BROWNS Starting Cutler a bad decision but Browns are bad.
Eagles -4.5 over VIKINGS No Peterson for Vikes and Foles should put up points.
PANTHERS -11 over Jets Jets will have a hard time scoring in Carolina.
Packers +7 over COWBOYS It's December, time for a Tony Romo collapse.
STEELERS +3 over Bengals I'll take Pittsburgh at home in primetime.
Ravens +6 over LIONS 6 too much for defending champs, Stafford starting to slip.
SuperContest
Last Week: 3-2
Season Total: 36-30-4
Overall
Last Week: 12-4
Season Total: 103-97-7
Showing posts with label Jacksonville Jaguars. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jacksonville Jaguars. Show all posts
Thursday, December 19, 2013
Thursday, December 5, 2013
NFL Week 14 Pick'em
After a 4-11-1 record last week, for the first time all year we are under .500 overall. Not a good feeling. The SuperContest is still decent as we split again at 2-2-1. We saw some teams flex their muscle as Denver overcame an early deficit to take down the Chiefs for the second time in three weeks and Seattle proved they are the team to beat in the NFC, blowing out the Saints 34-7. We also saw Pittsburgh Steelers head coach, Mike Tomlin, not only affect the game but also the betting outcome. Tomlin was clearly where he shouldn't be on the field, you can tell he knew what he was doing by his wry smile after the play. He ended up getting in the way of Jacoby Jones, who would have been gone for a touchdown on a punt return. Baltimore had to settle for a field goal and missed covering by one point. This week we have two games that feature division rivals when New Orleans hosts Carolina and Seattle travels to San Francisco. These are going to be the hardest to call but let's get into it.
SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)
JAGUARS +3 over Texans Jags playing better and are at home in primetime.
Chiefs -3 over REDSKINS KC defense too good for RG3.
STEELERS -3 over Dolphins Big Ben is putting up points, while D coming around.
Titans +12 over BRONCOS Too cold for Peyton, CJ2K keeps it close.
CHARGERS -3 over Giants I have no faith in Eli on the road.
Other NFL
Vikings +7 over RAVENS Baltimore hasn't blown too many teams out this year.
PATRIOTS -10 over Browns Browns can't keep up with Brady.
Raiders +3 over JETS NYJ have hit a nasty wall since beating Saints.
BENGALS -6.5 over Colts Red Rocket goes off against bad D.
SAINTS -3 over Panthers Saints find offense at home to stop Panthers win streak.
EAGLES -3 over Lions Foles has offense on point, Stafford throwing too many INT's.
BUCS -2.5 over Bills Buffalo struggles on the road, 1-4 ATS.
CARDINALS -6.5 over Rams Arizona at home and Palmer finally looks good.
Seahawks +3 over 49ERS Seattle rides momentum from stomping of Saints.
Falcons +3 over PACKERS Green Bay 0-5 ATS since Rodgers went out.
BEARS PK over Cowboys McCown clicking with Jeffery, let's see if defense shows up.
SuperContest
Last Week: 2-2-1
Season Total: 33-28-4
Overall
Last Week: 4-11-1
Season Total: 91-93-7
SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)
JAGUARS +3 over Texans Jags playing better and are at home in primetime.
Chiefs -3 over REDSKINS KC defense too good for RG3.
STEELERS -3 over Dolphins Big Ben is putting up points, while D coming around.
Titans +12 over BRONCOS Too cold for Peyton, CJ2K keeps it close.
CHARGERS -3 over Giants I have no faith in Eli on the road.
Other NFL
Vikings +7 over RAVENS Baltimore hasn't blown too many teams out this year.
PATRIOTS -10 over Browns Browns can't keep up with Brady.
Raiders +3 over JETS NYJ have hit a nasty wall since beating Saints.
BENGALS -6.5 over Colts Red Rocket goes off against bad D.
SAINTS -3 over Panthers Saints find offense at home to stop Panthers win streak.
EAGLES -3 over Lions Foles has offense on point, Stafford throwing too many INT's.
BUCS -2.5 over Bills Buffalo struggles on the road, 1-4 ATS.
CARDINALS -6.5 over Rams Arizona at home and Palmer finally looks good.
Seahawks +3 over 49ERS Seattle rides momentum from stomping of Saints.
Falcons +3 over PACKERS Green Bay 0-5 ATS since Rodgers went out.
BEARS PK over Cowboys McCown clicking with Jeffery, let's see if defense shows up.
SuperContest
Last Week: 2-2-1
Season Total: 33-28-4
Overall
Last Week: 4-11-1
Season Total: 91-93-7
Wednesday, November 27, 2013
NFL Week 13 Pick'em
Well, it feels good to get rid of that losing streak. We had a nice 9-5 overall week but the SuperContest picks could have been better than 3-2 (thanks a lot Panthers). The New England Patriots had a huge comeback win over the Denver Broncos 34-31 in OT. Tom Brady's offense was lost in the first half falling behind 24-0. However, he rallied his team to score 31 straight points. But, it was a muffed punt in overtime that set up the Patriots for the game winning field goal. This wasn't the only game to go into OT either as Minnesota and Green Bay played to a tie. This was the second tie in two years. Each team scored a field goal on their first possession of the extra time but couldn't score again. I think they need to get rid of ties in the NFL altogether but a debate for another time. We'll stick with our shorter breakdowns again this week because we all know that gamblers are superstitious and like to stay with what works.
SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)
EAGLES -3 over Cardinals Foles has Eagles hot and coming off bye.
CHARGERS -1 over Bengals Chargers solid at home, Bengals struggle on the road.
VIKINGS PK over Bears Bears can't stop run, Peterson runs wild
BILLS -3 over Falcons Atlanta having all kinds of trouble.
Jaguars +7 over BROWNS Jags playing better and Weedon back as starter for Browns.
Other NFL
Packers +6.5 over LIONS Remember what happened last time Matt Flynn started against Detroit?
Raiders +9.5 over COWBOYS Raiders control pace with Jennings ground game.
RAVENS -3 over Steelers Steelers playing well but Ravens tough at home.
Titans +4 over COLTS Titans 5-0 ATS away, Colts reeling.
CHIEFS +4.5 over Broncos KC has been waiting to get revenge.
Bucs +8 over PANTHERS Bucs on 3 game win streak, stay within two scores.
JETS -1.5 over Dolphins Can't figure out Jets, let's try'em again.
49ERS -8 over Rams SF Defense too much for Rams possibly without Zac Stacy.
Patriots -7.5 over TEXANS Texans 0-6 ATS at home, biggest disappointment in NFL.
REDSKINS +1 over Giants Both teams suck, go with who's at home.
Saints +5.5 over SEAHAWKS Brees and offense will keep it close.
SuperContest
Last Week: 3-2
Season Total: 31-26-3
Overall
Last Week: 9-5
Season Total: 87-82-6
SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)
EAGLES -3 over Cardinals Foles has Eagles hot and coming off bye.
CHARGERS -1 over Bengals Chargers solid at home, Bengals struggle on the road.
VIKINGS PK over Bears Bears can't stop run, Peterson runs wild
BILLS -3 over Falcons Atlanta having all kinds of trouble.
Jaguars +7 over BROWNS Jags playing better and Weedon back as starter for Browns.
Other NFL
Packers +6.5 over LIONS Remember what happened last time Matt Flynn started against Detroit?
Raiders +9.5 over COWBOYS Raiders control pace with Jennings ground game.
RAVENS -3 over Steelers Steelers playing well but Ravens tough at home.
Titans +4 over COLTS Titans 5-0 ATS away, Colts reeling.
CHIEFS +4.5 over Broncos KC has been waiting to get revenge.
Bucs +8 over PANTHERS Bucs on 3 game win streak, stay within two scores.
JETS -1.5 over Dolphins Can't figure out Jets, let's try'em again.
49ERS -8 over Rams SF Defense too much for Rams possibly without Zac Stacy.
Patriots -7.5 over TEXANS Texans 0-6 ATS at home, biggest disappointment in NFL.
REDSKINS +1 over Giants Both teams suck, go with who's at home.
Saints +5.5 over SEAHAWKS Brees and offense will keep it close.
SuperContest
Last Week: 3-2
Season Total: 31-26-3
Overall
Last Week: 9-5
Season Total: 87-82-6
Thursday, October 17, 2013
NFL Week 7 Pick'em
We tried to get back on track but we couldn't as we had our second losing week in a row. Minnesota was torched at home as the whole team seemed to be affected by the tragic loss of Adrian Peterson's son and the Texans were also blown out at home with no excuse by the Rams 38-13. On a good note, the Jaguars finally got their first cover against Denver in the biggest spread in history. This week all eyes are on Peyton Manning making his return to Indianapolis to face the Colts. Colts owner Jim Irsay has already stirred the pot saying Peyton didn't win enough rings for the franchise. Manning had no comment for a rebuttal and I assume he will let his play do the talking. Let's get on with it.
SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)
CHIEFS -6 over Texans
I went against Kansas City last week and was burned so I'm back on the bandwagon this week. Oakland kept it close for a half but the Chiefs D shut them down in the second. They will have a good chance of adding to their NFL best 18 takeaways against a Houston team that will be starting rookie QB Case Keenum in place of the ineffective Matt Schaub. The Texans actually have the best defense in terms of yards, giving up only 252.8 a game. The problem is that the offense has given up five straight games with a pick six and I see the Chiefs continuing that streak with a rookie going into hostile territory in KC.
Bears PK over REDSKINS
Robert Griffin III has had a hard time getting his rhythm back after offseason surgery and it's obvious. He has seven turnovers in five games and I'm wondering how long before Redskins fans start asking for Kirk Cousins. For the Bears, Cutler has made a lot of mistakes as well (6 INT's) but has looked good his last two games throwing for over 600 yards, two TD's and zero picks. The Skins have one of the worst defenses in the league and Chicago should put enough points on the board for their defense to keep the lead.
LIONS -2.5 over Bengals
Last week the Detroit Lions were able to score 31 points on a very good Browns defense with Calvin Johnson only having three catches for 25 yards. That is definitely a good sign for the Lions as others had a huge impact in the passing game, like Kris Durham and Joseph Fauria. The Bengals have a top receiver of their own in A.J. Green who had 103 yards and one TD against Buffalo, his first over 100 since week 1. The biggest difference for the Lions from last year is their defense is back to making plays. They already have 13 takeaways in six games whereas they only totaled 17 in 2012. DeAndre Levy has been the standout leading the team in tackles (49) and interceptions (4). Look for Detroit to play well at home and cover the small line.
GIANTS -3 over Vikings
The Giants finally got their first cover last week and will look to get their first win this week. Eli Manning has been one of the worst quarterbacks all year but the Minnesota Vikings might be the remedy this team needs to get into the win column. I had this same thought when the Eagles came into New York and was wrong. The difference this time is that the Vikings offense is anything but coherent right now. As I stated earlier, Adrian Peterson is still not right after the loss of his son. They will also be starting newly acquired QB Josh Freeman after only being with the team for his second game. The Vikings have too much going on internally right now and the Giants should get their first win.
JAGUARS +8 over Chargers
Another team that got its first cover a week ago was Jacksonville, covering 27.5 against the Broncos. This week they have one of their few chances to get a win as the Chargers come to town. Chad Henne has found a nice rhythm with Justin Blackmon as he has 326 receiving yards in two games. Maurice Jones-Drew still does not look like himself but he did have his best game last week with 71 yards and a TD. San Diego has been a real surprise so far going 4-1-1 ATS so far and Philip Rivers has continued to produce. The thing that will hold the Chargers back this week though is being on a short week after playing Monday night and traveling to the east coast for an early game. Take the home-dog in this one.
Other NFL in 10 or less
CARDINALS +6 over Seahawks Cardinals good ATS and at home in close defensive battle.
Patriots -4 over JETS Brady and Co. continue riding high after big win.
Bills +8 over DOLPHINS Miami won't score enough to cover 8.
EAGLES -3 over Cowboys Foles has Philly offense on point, Cowboys banged up.
PANTHERS -6 over Rams Cam made me a believer last week.
FALCONS -7 over Bucs Don't like either team but I trust Tampa Bay less.
49ers -4 over TITANS SF is rolling on both sides of the ball.
PACKERS -10 over Browns Browns can't keep pace with Weedon at QB.
Ravens +2 over STEELERS Still not sold on the Steelers, even after first win.
Broncos -6.5 over COLTS Peyton purposely runs up the score.
SuperContest
Last Week: 2-3
Season Total: 17-12-1
Overall
Last Week: 7-8
Season Total: 48-40-3
SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)
CHIEFS -6 over Texans
I went against Kansas City last week and was burned so I'm back on the bandwagon this week. Oakland kept it close for a half but the Chiefs D shut them down in the second. They will have a good chance of adding to their NFL best 18 takeaways against a Houston team that will be starting rookie QB Case Keenum in place of the ineffective Matt Schaub. The Texans actually have the best defense in terms of yards, giving up only 252.8 a game. The problem is that the offense has given up five straight games with a pick six and I see the Chiefs continuing that streak with a rookie going into hostile territory in KC.
Bears PK over REDSKINS
Robert Griffin III has had a hard time getting his rhythm back after offseason surgery and it's obvious. He has seven turnovers in five games and I'm wondering how long before Redskins fans start asking for Kirk Cousins. For the Bears, Cutler has made a lot of mistakes as well (6 INT's) but has looked good his last two games throwing for over 600 yards, two TD's and zero picks. The Skins have one of the worst defenses in the league and Chicago should put enough points on the board for their defense to keep the lead.
LIONS -2.5 over Bengals
Last week the Detroit Lions were able to score 31 points on a very good Browns defense with Calvin Johnson only having three catches for 25 yards. That is definitely a good sign for the Lions as others had a huge impact in the passing game, like Kris Durham and Joseph Fauria. The Bengals have a top receiver of their own in A.J. Green who had 103 yards and one TD against Buffalo, his first over 100 since week 1. The biggest difference for the Lions from last year is their defense is back to making plays. They already have 13 takeaways in six games whereas they only totaled 17 in 2012. DeAndre Levy has been the standout leading the team in tackles (49) and interceptions (4). Look for Detroit to play well at home and cover the small line.
GIANTS -3 over Vikings
The Giants finally got their first cover last week and will look to get their first win this week. Eli Manning has been one of the worst quarterbacks all year but the Minnesota Vikings might be the remedy this team needs to get into the win column. I had this same thought when the Eagles came into New York and was wrong. The difference this time is that the Vikings offense is anything but coherent right now. As I stated earlier, Adrian Peterson is still not right after the loss of his son. They will also be starting newly acquired QB Josh Freeman after only being with the team for his second game. The Vikings have too much going on internally right now and the Giants should get their first win.
JAGUARS +8 over Chargers
Another team that got its first cover a week ago was Jacksonville, covering 27.5 against the Broncos. This week they have one of their few chances to get a win as the Chargers come to town. Chad Henne has found a nice rhythm with Justin Blackmon as he has 326 receiving yards in two games. Maurice Jones-Drew still does not look like himself but he did have his best game last week with 71 yards and a TD. San Diego has been a real surprise so far going 4-1-1 ATS so far and Philip Rivers has continued to produce. The thing that will hold the Chargers back this week though is being on a short week after playing Monday night and traveling to the east coast for an early game. Take the home-dog in this one.
Other NFL in 10 or less
CARDINALS +6 over Seahawks Cardinals good ATS and at home in close defensive battle.
Patriots -4 over JETS Brady and Co. continue riding high after big win.
Bills +8 over DOLPHINS Miami won't score enough to cover 8.
EAGLES -3 over Cowboys Foles has Philly offense on point, Cowboys banged up.
PANTHERS -6 over Rams Cam made me a believer last week.
FALCONS -7 over Bucs Don't like either team but I trust Tampa Bay less.
49ers -4 over TITANS SF is rolling on both sides of the ball.
PACKERS -10 over Browns Browns can't keep pace with Weedon at QB.
Ravens +2 over STEELERS Still not sold on the Steelers, even after first win.
Broncos -6.5 over COLTS Peyton purposely runs up the score.
SuperContest
Last Week: 2-3
Season Total: 17-12-1
Overall
Last Week: 7-8
Season Total: 48-40-3
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