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Monday, September 9, 2013

2013 NFL Season Totals

With the NFL season upon us I've decided to focus a lot of attention to sports betting.  The NFL is the most bet on sport and is talked about quite often.  In the first installment, I've gone through all 32 teams and gave you my predictions for their total wins.  The odds associated are straight off the sheet from Caesars Palace.  Some teams have a real good value (Browns under 6.5 +135) whereas others were jumped on early and the price was really affected (Chiefs over 7.5 -175).  For those that don't know what I'm talking about, if you took the Chiefs to win more than 7.5 games, you would have to bet $175 to win $100.  Whereas if you took the Browns to win less than 6.5 games, you would win $1.35 for every $1 you bet, which means if you bet $100 you would win $135.  Here's what I came up with.


2013 NFL Season Totals
Line
Projected
Arizona Cardinals
5.5 (o -180)
6
Atlanta Falcons
9.5 (o -145)
10
Baltimore Ravens
8.5 (o +115)
9
Buffalo Bills
6 (u -120)
4
Carolina Panthers
7.5 (u +115)
6
Chicago Bears
8.5 (u +120)
7
Cincinnati Bengals
8.5 (o -200)
9
Cleveland Browns
6.5 (u +135)
5
Dallas Cowboys
8.5 (u +110)
8
Denver Broncos
12
12
Detroit Lions
8.5 (u -115)
7
Green Bay Packers
10.5 (o -105)
11
Houston Texans
10.5 (o -110)
12
Indianapolis Colts
8.5 (u -115)
7
Jacksonville Jaguars
5 (u -130)
4
Kansas City Chiefs
7.5 (o -175)
8
Miami Dolphins
7.5 (u +125)
6
Minnesota Vikings
7 (u -125)
6
New England Patriots
11 (o +110)
12
New Orleans Saints
9.5 (u +110)
9
New York Giants
8.5 (u even)
8
New York Jets
6 (u -170)
4
Oakland Raiders
5 (u -185)
3
Philadelphia Eagles
7.5 (u -130)
6
Pittsburgh Steelers
9.5 (o +140)
10
San Diego Chargers
7.5 (u -155)
5
San Francisco 49ers
11
11
Seattle Seahawks
10.5 (o -130)
13
St Louis Rams
7.5 (u -110)
5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7.5 (u +105)
6
Tennessee Titans
6.5 (u -110)
6
Washington Redskins
8.5 (u -110)
8


As you can see, most have fallen either above or below the number listed, except the Broncos and 49ers.  We will revisit this throughout the year and especially after the season to see how things go.  I'd be happy with a 50/50 split.

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