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Thursday, October 24, 2013

NFL Week 8 Pick'em

Well, it looks like we're going the wrong way.  Even the SuperContest numbers took a big hit going 1-4.  All I can say is I'm glad I'm not using real money.  The Bears, Lions and Chiefs all were games that didn't go our way at the end and could have made our final numbers look a little different if they did.  Not only did our picks go down last week, but so did many key players (Doug Martin and Reggie Wayne to name a few).  Nonetheless, on to Week 8!  A lot of big numbers this week as 10 of the 13 games are hovering around a touchdown or more.  We have another game being played in London, this time it's San Francisco and Jacksonville.  The NFL really gave them some gems to watch this year.  And other than the Cowboys-Lions, there isn't one game I will make a point to watch this weekend.  But, we still have to watch our fantasy players and make some picks.  So, here we go.

SuperContest Picks (Home team in CAPS)

Falcons +2.5 over CARDINALS

No Julio Jones and no Roddy White apparently was no problem for Matt Ryan and the Falcons last week against Tampa Bay.  I think the Bucs horrible defense had something to do with it though.  But, without two of the best receivers in the league, Atlanta wideout Harry Douglas had a breakout performance.  He finished with 149 yards, one TD and caught all seven of the passes thrown his way.  Now he gets to face off against emerging shut down corner Patrick Peterson.  Arizona has a decent defense but Carson Palmer has been a turnover machine.  Coming into the season I thought he would have this offense back to the Kurt Warner days but he's looked terrible and Larry Fitzgerald fighting injuries doesn't help.  In the end, the Falcons put up points and Arizona doesn't score enough.

RAIDERS +3 over Steelers

Pittsburgh has gotten two straight wins after losing its first four games of the year, the last coming against rival Baltimore.  Ben Roethlisberger has been average throwing seven touchdowns and five interceptions, but their defense is starting to come around giving up only 22 points in their last two games.  The Oakland Raiders will be coming off their bye week and Terrell Pryor has been very comfortable at home as the Raiders have won the two games he's started in the Black Hole.  Wide receiver Denarius Moore has also been a pleasant surprise with 399 yards and four TD's.  These teams played last season in Oakland, a game they won 34-31 on the leg of Sebastian Janikowski as time expired.  I see this game being low scoring this time around but Oakland keeping it close and possibly even winning again.

Panthers -6 over BUCS

Cam Newton has this offense on fire right now scoring 65 points in the last two games and has completed 35 of 43 passes in those game.  The defense has played all year as well, giving up only 13.8 points per game.  Carolina was one of those bang or bust teams coming into the year and after a slow start might have found their rhythm.  The Bucs on the other had keep adding to their troubles.  Last week their standout running back Doug Martin tore his labrum and will be out indefinitely.  Now they must turn to rookie RB Mike James and will join fellow rookie QB Mike Glennon in the backfield.  Glennon has developed good chemistry with veteran WR Vincent Jackson their last two games connecting for 252 yards and 4 TD's.  But they've still lost those games by more than a touchdown.  Carolina is playing great on both sides of the ball and should cover this road Thursday night game.

Seahawks -11 over RAMS

Seattle continues to show they are one of the best teams in the league with one of the top defenses that should feast on a depleted St. Louis Rams team.  Franchise quarterback Sam Bradford was lost for the season last week for the Rams with a torn ACL.  They will now give the ball to Kellen Clemens who hasn't started a game since 2011.  This is a horrible spot to put in Clemens and will turn out very badly for the eight year pro.  The Seahawks have forced a NFC leading 11 interceptions and will be ball hawking all game especially with the Rams lack of running game.  Seattle's Marshawn Lynch will also most likely be in beastmode as St. Louis is one of the league's worst run stoppers.  Two scores is a lot on the road but the Rams have nothing good to offer.

PATRIOTS -7 over Dolphins

I will honestly say it was tough for me to find another game I was overly confident in.  But Tom Brady at home is hard to overlook.  I don't take too much out of their 30-27 OT loss to the Jets last week because the Jets always play them tough.  But one thing I do take into consideration is the return of tight end Rob Gronkowski.  Gronk finished his first game back with eight receptions and 114 yards.  Brady only has one touchdown in his last three games but the Dolphins pass defense nothing special and could be what he needs to put up big numbers.  Miami has been on a downward spiral losing three straight after winning three straight to begin the year.  Tannehill has five INT's in those losses and they still have no running game to speak of.  Take New England at home as Brady will connect with Gronk for two touchdowns.


Other NFL in 10 or less

49ers -16.5 over Jaguars     Not taking the Jags again until they cover.

LIONS -3 over Cowboys     No Murray will hurt the Cowboys.

Giants +6 over EAGLES     First win inspires Giants to keep it close.

CHIEFS -7.5 over Browns     Browns will be lucky to score 10 points.

Bills +12 over SAINTS     Graham's status in question, Bill's slow game down.

BENGALS -6.5 over Jets     Jets come down after emotional win against Pats.

BRONCOS -13 over Redskins     Skins travel west for a beating, Peyton's angry.

Packers -9.5 over VIKINGS     Vikings in complete disarray, Rodgers rolling.


SuperContest
Last Week:  1-4
Season Total:  18-16-1

Overall
Last Week:  6-9
Season Total:  54-49-3

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